Updated
Updated · Trefis · Jun 26
Oracle Shares Drop 21% as $70 Billion AI Build-Out Fuels Execution Fears
Updated
Updated · Trefis · Jun 26

Oracle Shares Drop 21% as $70 Billion AI Build-Out Fuels Execution Fears

3 articles · Updated · Trefis · Jun 26

Summary

  • Oracle shares have fallen 21% over the past month and sit about 53% below their 52-week high, even after the company signed $67 billion of AI infrastructure contracts in one quarter.
  • The disconnect reflects investor concern that Oracle must turn a $638 billion backlog into profitable growth while funding an expected $70 billion in net capital spending next fiscal year.
  • Management says it plans to raise around $40 billion in debt and equity, while warning gross margin will step down in the near term as the cloud expansion accelerates.
  • Oracle’s OCI unit grew 93% in the latest quarter, but options implied volatility of 55 and a recent 19% weekly slide underscore how sharply the market is pricing execution risk.

Insights

Why do most analysts recommend buying Oracle stock while investors are signaling a potential crisis?
As Oracle's debt soars for its AI dream, can it avoid the fate of the 1990s telecom bust?