Rubio Cuts Vance's New Hampshire Lead to 10 Points as 2028 Betting Gap Narrows
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jul 25
Rubio Cuts Vance's New Hampshire Lead to 10 Points as 2028 Betting Gap Narrows
3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Jul 25
Summary
A new New Hampshire Republican primary poll shows JD Vance at 36% and Marco Rubio at 26%, a sharp tightening from February's 53%-7% split.
Rubio has also moved closer to Vance in betting markets, reinforcing a view among some Republicans that a 2028 challenge to the vice president is becoming more plausible.
The shift comes as Vance's standing on the right has been tested by his skepticism of Trump's Iran strike and his effort to play a diplomatic role afterward.
Rubio, by contrast, has raised his profile through a more visible first year as secretary of state and public praise from Trump, even as critics say he has stayed evasive on Iran.
The broader tension for Vance is that being more cautious on the war may win little political reward inside a GOP base still reluctant to hear that Trump erred.