Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 27
Khouw Recommends Netflix 65/78/88 Covered Strangle for 20% Annualized Return
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 27

Khouw Recommends Netflix 65/78/88 Covered Strangle for 20% Annualized Return

1 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 27

Summary

  • $1.10 in net credit is the centerpiece of Mike Khouw’s August 65/78/88 Netflix covered strangle, offering about 1.5% over 25 days and more than 20% annualized.
  • Netflix near $70 and trading at 18.9 times forward earnings underpins the trade, with Khouw arguing the stock has become cheaper even as margins, cash flow and ad monetization improve.
  • The setup stays profitable between $63.90 and $79.10, caps upside risk with the long August 88 call, and would leave an effective entry price of $63.90 if shares are assigned below $65.
  • Khouw’s broader case rests on Netflix’s roughly 325 million paying members, ad revenue expected near $3 billion this year and a path toward $10 billion by 2030, plus AI-driven cost savings.

Insights

If Netflix falls below $65, is assignment at about $63.90 a bargain entry—or a trap in a maturing streaming story?
Can Netflix’s ad engine, AI efficiencies, and live-event push justify its low valuation, or is the market signaling deeper growth risks?
Is Netflix’s weaker stock masking a stronger business—and does that make selling volatility smarter than buying shares now?