Updated
Updated · ABC News · Jul 28
RBA Says Housing Eased More Than Expected in May as 4.4% Jobless Rate May Need to Rise
Updated
Updated · ABC News · Jul 28

RBA Says Housing Eased More Than Expected in May as 4.4% Jobless Rate May Need to Rise

3 articles · Updated · ABC News · Jul 28

Summary

  • May housing conditions softened more than the RBA expected, with price declines concentrated in Sydney and Melbourne after earlier cash-rate increases, policy changes and weaker sentiment.
  • Less than 1% of borrowers are in negative equity, and Bullock said the pullback in established home prices remains modest after a period of strong gains.
  • Michele Bullock also said the labour market has eased faster than expected, but more unemployment or underemployment will likely be needed to return inflation to target; the jobless rate is now 4.4%.
  • Headline inflation was still 4% in May, and Bullock said the RBA is prepared to raise rates further if needed as oil-price volatility and other supply shocks complicate policy.
  • Bullock called weak productivity growth the economy's fundamental challenge, warning it limits how fast Australia can grow without reigniting inflation.

Insights

If the RBA cannot fix Australia's productivity crisis, who is actually steering the economy away from a prolonged standard-of-living collapse?
Are everyday Australians being unfairly punished by interest rate hikes for an inflation crisis driven by global shocks and corporate profit margins?
How close is the economy to a 1970s-style spiral if temporary global supply shocks permanently unanchor our long-term inflation expectations?