Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 29
Yum Faces Taco Bell Outbreak Fallout as Traffic Drops Double Digits Before $2.2 Billion Q2 Report
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 29

Yum Faces Taco Bell Outbreak Fallout as Traffic Drops Double Digits Before $2.2 Billion Q2 Report

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 29

Summary

  • Thursday's Yum earnings call is set to focus less on second-quarter results than on Taco Bell's outbreak fallout, after FDA-linked cyclospora cases drove double-digit daily traffic declines at the chain.
  • 1,947 illnesses and 98 hospitalizations have been tied to the outbreak, with federal agencies pointing to Taylor Farms iceberg lettuce; Taco Bell pulled the product by July 17, but the CDC has not declared the outbreak over.
  • Yum shares have fallen 5% since the FDA linked Taco Bell to the outbreak, and seven analysts have cut full-year EPS estimates since June 30 as investors brace for weaker Taco Bell performance in Q3 and Q4.
  • Wall Street still expects Q2 EPS of $1.58 on $2.2 billion in revenue and 7% same-store sales growth at Taco Bell because the quarter ended before the outbreak was linked to the chain.
  • Taco Bell is trying to rebuild trust with CEO Sean Tresvant's public pledge on safety and $1 menu promotions, while analysts see a McDonald's-style short-term hit as more likely than Chipotle's years-long slump.

Insights

Will Taco Bell's recent food safety crisis overshadow Yum's massive $2.7 billion Pizza Hut sell-off this earnings season?
With Pizza Hut gone, is Yum's reduced transparency on KFC sales hiding deeper cracks in its fast-food empire?
Can Yum Brands leverage AI and digital loyalty to offset mounting supply chain costs squeezing restaurant margins?