Updated
Updated · Financial Times · Jul 30
German Mittelstand Investment Appetite Falls to 1995 Low as China Competition Intensifies
Updated
Updated · Financial Times · Jul 30

German Mittelstand Investment Appetite Falls to 1995 Low as China Competition Intensifies

1 articles · Updated · Financial Times · Jul 30

Summary

  • 52% of German SMEs plan to invest over the next six months, the lowest appetite since the survey began in 1995 and below levels seen during the financial crisis, Covid-19 and the Ukraine energy shock.
  • China is a key driver: German machinery exports to China fell 8% last year and another 8% so far this year, while Chinese equipment imports into Germany rose 14% over the same period.
  • 26% of companies expect business conditions to improve, underscoring pressure on family-owned industrial groups that are racing to add AI to machinery while facing cheaper, faster-moving Chinese rivals.
  • German industry leaders say domestic burdens are worsening the squeeze, citing corporate taxes about 5 percentage points above the OECD rich-country average, high labour costs and extra regulation.
  • Brussels is also under pressure to move faster on dumping, subsidies and diverted Chinese goods, as Mittelstand executives warn Europe needs a more competitive industrial base amid broader geopolitical dependence risks.

Insights

Will Germany's legendary industrial backbone collapse under the weight of China's aggressive export surge and crippling domestic taxes?
Can European trade defenses evolve fast enough to save family-owned manufacturers before cheap foreign imports completely wipe them out?