Updated
Updated · GMK Center | English · Aug 7
Global Scrap Prices Fall $10-$30 a Tonne in July, With Germany Down 8%
Updated
Updated · GMK Center | English · Aug 7

Global Scrap Prices Fall $10-$30 a Tonne in July, With Germany Down 8%

1 articles · Updated · GMK Center | English · Aug 7

Summary

  • $10-$30-per-tonne declines extended the global scrap selloff in July, with Turkey’s HMS 1&2 80:20 averaging $370/t, the US $328/t and China $380/t.
  • Germany posted the steepest drop—down 8% or $29 to $327/t—as weak finished-steel demand, early mill maintenance and collapsing scrap consumption weighed on European markets.
  • Logistics disruptions deepened the pressure in Europe: low water on the Rhine, Danube and Oder cut barge loads to 30-50% capacity, while rail and road alternatives were constrained and costlier.
  • Turkey’s market turned volatile rather than one-way lower, with freight increases, Iran-related tensions and tighter European scrap collection briefly lifting offers before mills again paused purchases amid weak rebar margins.
  • August forecasts remain soft across Europe and the US, though lower summer scrap collection and thinning Turkish inventories could support a rebound if buying revives in late August or early September.

Insights

As cheap Russian pig iron floods Turkish mills, is the traditional global scrap market facing a permanent structural collapse?
With EU waste shipment rules tightening in 2026, will Europe's scrap export squeeze trigger a global supply shock for steelmakers?
Can long-term green economy mandates rescue falling scrap prices before soaring geopolitical freight costs bankrupt global recyclers?