Updated
Updated · MarketPulse · Aug 12
GBP/USD Holds Above 1.3479 as US CPI Tests 48.1% Fed Hike Odds
Updated
Updated · MarketPulse · Aug 12

GBP/USD Holds Above 1.3479 as US CPI Tests 48.1% Fed Hike Odds

3 articles · Updated · MarketPulse · Aug 12

Summary

  • Sterling stayed in a short-term uptrend above 1.3479 after breaking a medium-term descending trendline following last week's US payrolls report.
  • A core CPI reading above 2.5% could revive dollar strength and push GBP/USD toward 1.3400, while a softer print may extend the rally toward 1.3547, 1.3580 and 1.3643.
  • Fed pricing has turned less hawkish: futures imply a 48.1% chance of a 25-basis-point September hike, down from about 70% a week ago after mixed labor signals.
  • Over the past five trading sessions, the pound has been among the strongest major currencies against the dollar, with the USD/GBP cross down 0.38%.

Insights

With the dollar stumbling and technicals flashing bullish, what hidden catalyst could suddenly derail the pound's surge to 1.3600?
As Middle East tensions threaten energy costs, will sticky UK inflation force a surprising pivot from the Bank of England?