Updated
Updated · KSTP · Aug 12
Demuth Cuts Lindell Lead to 6 Points as Craig Edges Flanagan by 2 in Minnesota Poll
Updated
Updated · KSTP · Aug 12

Demuth Cuts Lindell Lead to 6 Points as Craig Edges Flanagan by 2 in Minnesota Poll

3 articles · Updated · KSTP · Aug 12

Summary

  • A final KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows Minnesota’s GOP governor primary tightening sharply, with Mike Lindell still ahead but Lisa Demuth now within 6 points days before voting.
  • Older voters could decide both marquee toss-ups: Demuth leads Lindell 41%-28% among voters 65 and older, while Angie Craig leads Peggy Flanagan 55%-37% in that same age group.
  • Craig has regained a 2-point edge over Flanagan in the DFL Senate primary, but 15% remain undecided, leaving the race within the poll’s margin of error.
  • Michele Tafoya appears to have locked up the GOP Senate primary at 48%, leading Royce White by 35 points, while the attorney general general-election test shows Keith Ellison ahead of Ron Schutz 44%-36%.
  • The results reinforce earlier signs of volatile Minnesota primaries in which turnout patterns and a sizable undecided bloc could still swing the closest contests on Tuesday.

Insights

How do large blocs of undecided voters reshape the final outcome of highly competitive primary elections?
What happens to predictability when independent polling is replaced by data from candidate-aligned groups?
Can the structure of an open primary system completely alter voter turnout and surprise pollsters?