Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 12
S&P Options Hit 1-Year Bullish Extreme as Traders Keep 10-Delta Crash Hedges
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 12

S&P Options Hit 1-Year Bullish Extreme as Traders Keep 10-Delta Crash Hedges

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 12

Summary

  • Cboe data showed the strongest bullish skew in S&P call options versus puts in at least a year on Monday, with the one-month 25-delta put-call ratio at its lowest since mid-2024.
  • A sharp post-earnings rally and upside squeeze drove the shift, after Nasdaq options logged one of their most bullish days in 10 years and Cboe recorded call-option trading at a record.
  • Tail-risk demand has not disappeared: the ratio of 10-delta puts to 25-delta puts sits in the 66th percentile of the past five years, signaling traders still want cheap crash protection.
  • That caution follows a summer of hidden turbulence, including a 25% semiconductor pullback, record volatility gaps between the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, and historic put buying in the SMH ETF.
  • Small-caps have emerged as a volatility refuge as well, with Russell 2000 volatility dropping below 17 last week — a 2nd-percentile low over five years after the index's 20% gain this year.

Insights

Will Cboe's new extended trading hours ignite unprecedented overnight volatility for mega-cap tech stocks?
Why are traders aggressively betting on record stock highs while secretly hoarding cheap crash protection?
Could the massive institutional rush into gold signal that the current stock market rally is built on fragile foundations?