Updated
Updated · ESPN · Aug 13
SP+ Releases Final 2026 Projections, Ranking Ohio State No. 1 and SEC Strongest
Updated
Updated · ESPN · Aug 13

SP+ Releases Final 2026 Projections, Ranking Ohio State No. 1 and SEC Strongest

3 articles · Updated · ESPN · Aug 13

Summary

  • Ohio State opened No. 1 in SP+'s final 2026 preseason rankings, ahead of Oregon, Indiana, Georgia and Texas, while Texas Tech landed eighth as the top Big 12 team.
  • The model also tagged the SEC as the strongest conference with a 15.0 average rating, ahead of the Big Ten at 12.1, with Miami projected atop the ACC and Boise State leading the Pac-12.
  • Week 2's marquee projection has Ohio State favored by 7.5 at Texas, a top-five showdown made more consequential by SP+'s schedule rankings placing Texas No. 1 nationally and Ohio State No. 3.
  • SP+ highlighted major year-over-year swings, projecting Oklahoma State up 22.0 points after a coaching change, while North Texas fell 25.4 and Utah dropped 12.4 among Power 4 teams.
  • The release argues preseason models remain useful despite criticism because prior performance, returning production and recruiting still predict outcomes; last year's transfer-driven returning production average fell to 51.3% nationally.

Insights

How will Ohio State's marquee clash against Texas expose the hidden flaws of preseason rankings in the transfer portal era?
With returning production plummeting to historic lows, can data-driven models accurately predict the 2026 college football season?