Updated
Updated · The American Prospect · Aug 11
California Prop 40 Polls at 57% for a 5% Billionaire Tax as Democrats Split
Updated
Updated · The American Prospect · Aug 11

California Prop 40 Polls at 57% for a 5% Billionaire Tax as Democrats Split

3 articles · Updated · The American Prospect · Aug 11

Summary

  • A one-time 5% tax on roughly 200 California billionaires is headed for the November ballot, with overall support at 57% in a sponsor-backed poll and 54% in a May PPIC survey.
  • The measure would tax stock-heavy wealth as of Dec. 31 and direct most revenue to keeping hospitals open after federal healthcare cuts, a design that has fueled support from its sponsoring SEIU local.
  • Gavin Newsom and Xavier Becerra oppose Prop 40, and Google co-founder Sergey Brin is helping finance an expected opposition campaign worth hundreds of millions of dollars.
  • Labor backing has fractured because the money would largely bypass other priorities: the California Teachers Association opposes the measure, while the state SEIU council has stayed neutral despite strong rank-and-file support.
  • That split leaves progressive groups weighing whether to campaign for a proposal that tests whether California Democrats will embrace a state wealth tax despite donor and institutional resistance.

Insights

Why does Proposition 40 send most billionaire-tax revenue to hospitals instead of schools or child care, and who wins from that choice?
If California voters approve Proposition 40, how soon could cash reach endangered hospitals—and would it be enough to stop closures?