Lula Holds 43%-40% Edge Over Flavio Bolsonaro as Brazil Race Tightens
Updated
Updated · Al Jazeera English · Aug 15
Lula Holds 43%-40% Edge Over Flavio Bolsonaro as Brazil Race Tightens
3 articles · Updated · Al Jazeera English · Aug 15
Summary
Quaest’s latest runoff poll put President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at 43% and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro at 40%, a gap within the survey’s two-point margin of error ahead of October’s election.
The result narrowed from Quaest’s August 5 poll, which showed Lula leading 44% to 39%, signaling a more competitive final stretch two months before the vote.
In the first round, Lula led with 38% to Bolsonaro’s 31%, while Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado each drew 4% and Romeu Zema 2%; Brazil sends the top two to a runoff if no one wins a majority.
Flavio Bolsonaro has become the right’s main candidate after his father Jair Bolsonaro was barred from office and later convicted over a plot to overturn Lula’s 2022 victory.
Lula has framed his reelection bid around sovereignty, warning Donald Trump not to meddle and vowing to protect Brazil’s rare earths and other critical minerals from foreign control.