Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 15
Smarkets Pursues 2-Track US Entry With CFTC Filing and 3 State Sportsbook Bids
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 15

Smarkets Pursues 2-Track US Entry With CFTC Filing and 3 State Sportsbook Bids

1 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 15

Summary

  • $60 billion-volume Smarkets is entering the U.S. through two routes: a CFTC license application filed in March and sportsbook applications in Illinois, Iowa and Michigan.
  • Jason Trost said the hedge reflects unresolved jurisdiction over sports-event contracts, with Smarkets preferring a federally regulated prediction-market exchange if CFTC preemption holds.
  • Illinois and Michigan are central tests because their regulators have treated prediction markets as unlicensed sports betting, while Smarkets already operates a sportsbook in Indiana.
  • The strategy lands in a widening federal-state fight: the CFTC has sued states over regulation efforts, and 44 state attorneys general argued last month that it cannot be the sole regulator.
  • Smarkets is following a path already explored by DraftKings and FanDuel, but Trost said high state compliance and tax costs make federal approval the cleaner long-term route.

Insights

Will Smarkets' strategy to play both sides of the federal and state regulatory war redefine the future of sports prediction markets?
If sports prediction markets are classified as federal swaps, how will states recover the massive tax revenues lost from traditional sports betting?
Could the clash between the CFTC and state regulators over event contracts ultimately force betting exchanges to alter their entire business models?