Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 16
Usiminas Fair Value Target Falls 7.5% to R$8.87 as Analysts Split on Steel Upside
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 16

Usiminas Fair Value Target Falls 7.5% to R$8.87 as Analysts Split on Steel Upside

1 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 16

Summary

  • R$8.87 is the new fair value estimate for Usiminas, down from R$9.59, after updated assumptions cut the implied valuation despite a still-positive view on Brazil's steel backdrop.
  • 4.30% revenue growth is now modeled versus 3.76% before, but net profit margin was lowered to 5.11% from 6.53%, while the discount rate rose to 24.20% from 23.28%.
  • R$10.50 from Goldman Sachs marks the top of the analyst range, reflecting confidence that local steel pricing and volumes can support stronger returns.
  • R$8 from Itau BBA sits at the low end after it downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform, highlighting execution risk in turning market conditions into earnings.
  • The revised target now sits between an R$8 to R$10.50 analyst range, underscoring a divided market view on how much of Brazil's steel cycle Usiminas can convert into shareholder value.

Insights

Will Brazil's aggressive new anti-dumping quotas rescue Usiminas' stock, or are hidden execution risks secretly destroying its long-term value?
Despite a massive 86% EBITDA surge, why are analysts slapping a brutal 24.2% discount rate on Brazil's top steelmaker?
Could latent environmental and governance fears be the real reason Wall Street is quietly downgrading this booming Brazilian steel giant?