Palantir Could Reach $1.2 Trillion by 2030 as 149% U.S. Commercial Growth Fuels Outlook
Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 16
Palantir Could Reach $1.2 Trillion by 2030 as 149% U.S. Commercial Growth Fuels Outlook
3 articles · Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 16
Summary
A $420 billion Palantir could be worth $720 billion to $1.2 trillion by 2030, based on projected sales of about $24 billion and price-to-sales multiples of 30 to 50.
149% year-over-year growth in U.S. commercial revenue in Q2 2026 underpins that outlook, with private-sector demand for Palantir's AI software expanding from a still-small base of 653 U.S. commercial customers.
Analysts expect revenue to jump 83% to $8.2 billion this fiscal year and 49% to $12.2 billion next year, with the projection assuming 40% annual growth in the following two years.
73 times trailing 12-month sales remains the main constraint: even with strong business momentum, valuation compression could sharply limit returns versus the stock's past multibagger run.