Updated
Updated · New Scientist · Aug 18
Shanwick Controllers to Reroute 10,000 Flights With AI to Cut 5% of Global Contrail Warming
Updated
Updated · New Scientist · Aug 18

Shanwick Controllers to Reroute 10,000 Flights With AI to Cut 5% of Global Contrail Warming

3 articles · Updated · New Scientist · Aug 18

Summary

  • November will mark the first airspace-wide trial of AI-guided contrail avoidance, with Shanwick controllers advising North Atlantic flights to change altitude rather than route normally.
  • Google’s forecasts will flag atmospheric zones likely to produce persistent warming contrails, and pilots may be told to shift by up to 2,000 feet under existing weather-avoidance procedures.
  • The £5 million Operation Blue Skies trial will run over two winter seasons, with 20 to 40 test days each year and about 10,000 flights passing through trial hours annually.
  • Hundreds of flights must be adjusted to generate usable data, which Cambridge and Imperial researchers will analyze; Google says each diversion may burn about 100 kilograms of extra fuel but avoid contrail impacts measured in tonnes.
  • Shanwick is a winter contrail hotspot responsible for about 5% of global contrail warming, making the project a broader test of cutting aviation’s roughly one-third climate impact from contrails.

Insights

With the AI contrail trial starting this winter, could a wrong prediction actually increase aviation's climate impact by burning unnecessary fuel?
If a fraction of flights cause most contrail warming, can AI pinpoint these rogue routes before they trap heat in our atmosphere?