How will a massive fundraising advantage impact the final outcome of this historically tight and closely watched race?

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A huge fundraising edge can matter, but in Texas it is unlikely to be decisive by itself. It gives James Talarico a real chance to shape the race early and keep it competitive through November, yet history shows that money alone has not been enough for Democrats to win statewide there. Talarico’s advantage is substantial. He has raised roughly $72 million to Paxton’s $16.8 million and held more than triple the cash on hand at the end of June. That allows him to stay on television, expand digital and field operations, and define himself around affordability and anti-corruption before Paxton and outside allies fully answer. In a close race where many voters are still persuadable, that can be especially valuable. The edge is more important because Paxton remains a polarizing nominee. Polls show a tight contest, with Talarico often running well among independents and some Republicans uneasy about Paxton. Moves like hiring a former Cornyn aide reinforce that crossover appeal. Money helps turn that opening into persuasion and turnout, particularly with younger voters, suburban moderates and infrequent Democratic voters. But the advantage has limits. Texas remains difficult terrain for Democrats, and past nominees such as Beto O’Rourke and Colin Allred also outraised Republican opponents and still lost. National groups can also narrow Paxton’s deficit through super PACs, joint fundraising committees and unlimited coordinated party spending after the recent court ruling. So the fund…

Cornyn Aide Jacob Smith Joins Talarico Campaign as Democrat Leads Paxton 51%-48%

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Cornyn Aide Jacob Smith Joins Talarico Campaign as Democrat Leads Paxton 51%-48%

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