Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Aug 21
Houthis Gain Leverage Over 12%-15% of Maritime Trade as Hormuz Closure Lifts Bab al-Mandab Risk
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Aug 21

Houthis Gain Leverage Over 12%-15% of Maritime Trade as Hormuz Closure Lifts Bab al-Mandab Risk

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Aug 21

Summary

  • Bab al-Mandab has become a new pressure point because the Houthis are now positioned to disrupt a strait carrying 12% to 15% of global maritime trade.
  • Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has amplified that leverage, giving the Yemen-based group unusual power over Red Sea traffic and energy flows tied to the Suez Canal.
  • The Houthis could use that position to renew a blockade, reignite Yemen’s war, complicate any U.S.-Iran deal and pull Washington deeper into the region’s conflict.
  • Northern Yemen’s dominant armed group has emerged as a more independent actor than many policymakers assumed, despite relying on Iranian weapons, training and know-how.
  • That rise comes after other Iranian-aligned forces were weakened or toppled, leaving the Houthis in a stronger relative position within Tehran’s regional network.

Insights

With other Iranian allies crippled, how will the increasingly autonomous Houthis weaponize the Red Sea to reshape global trade by 2027?
If naval strikes cannot stop the Houthis, what extreme measures must the world take to reopen this vital maritime chokepoint?