Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 21
Goldman Says Cooling Inflation Is Clearest Route to Lower 5.25% US Yields
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 21

Goldman Says Cooling Inflation Is Clearest Route to Lower 5.25% US Yields

3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 21

Summary

  • Goldman Sachs said benign inflation data, not Treasury buybacks, offers the clearest path to bringing down elevated US bond yields.
  • 5.25% 30-year Treasury yields reflect investor concern over inflation, a growing federal debt burden and competition from heavy corporate bond issuance.
  • Treasury officials are still trying to ease borrowing costs: Scott Bessent said buybacks could expand further after the department moved to at least double longer-dated debt repurchases.
  • Goldman called those buyback effects relatively short-lived unless softer retail sales, weaker employment and subdued July core inflation build confidence that the Fed can stay on hold.

Insights

If global yields are surging simultaneously, will cooling US inflation truly be enough to reverse the massive selloff in long-term Treasuries?
With AI corporate bonds competing for capital, can Treasury buybacks alone save the US bond market from a massive debt crisis?