Updated
Updated · Fastmarkets news · Aug 21
US Steel Mills Cut Over 1 Million Tons as HRC Hits $1,202.40
Updated
Updated · Fastmarkets news · Aug 21

US Steel Mills Cut Over 1 Million Tons as HRC Hits $1,202.40

2 articles · Updated · Fastmarkets news · Aug 21

Summary

  • 1.01 million-1.04 million short tons of US steel output are set to be affected by planned mill outages from September through December 2026, with the biggest hits at US Steel Gary and Big River Steel Works.
  • 21-day and 10-day maintenance shutdowns at major flat-rolled facilities are tightening an already constrained spot market, where some mills have stopped offering spot tons and lead times have stretched to 8-12 weeks.
  • $1,202.40 per short ton for Midwest hot-rolled coil on Aug. 20 marked the highest level since May 2022, supported by low inventories, stable demand and outage-related supply cuts.
  • Imports are rising as buyers chase scarce hot band, but market participants said incoming material has not yet materially dented US prices or eased availability.

Insights

Will the sudden return of over a million tons of steel capacity in early 2027 trigger a devastating market crash?
Are steel giants strategically timing their massive late-2026 maintenance outages to artificially lock in record-high prices for desperate buyers?
Could the multi-million dollar struggle to keep aging blast furnaces alive accidentally accelerate America's green steel revolution?