Updated
Updated · marketscale.com · Aug 23
U.S. Heat Waves Split Grid Performance as PJM Tops $2,000/MWh and ERCOT Holds Near $29
Updated
Updated · marketscale.com · Aug 23

U.S. Heat Waves Split Grid Performance as PJM Tops $2,000/MWh and ERCOT Holds Near $29

3 articles · Updated · marketscale.com · Aug 23

Summary

  • PJM and ERCOT handled similar July air-conditioning peaks very differently: PJM prices jumped above $2,000 per megawatt-hour around its July 2 peak, while ERCOT set a July 22 demand record without emergency actions and with real-time prices near $29/MWh.
  • The gap points to solar-plus-battery penetration as a key divider as data center demand rises, with ERCOT's large buildout helping cover a 6 p.m. peak while PJM and SPP remained more capacity-constrained.
  • PJM said conservation programs prevented demand from breaking a 20-year-old record, underscoring that new 50-200 MW data center loads may increasingly need demand-response, curtailment and on-site shedding built into power plans.
  • SPP's demand reached nearly 58 GW on July 27 and triggered emergency measures, while Dominion Energy said nine of its top 10 power-consumption days have occurred this year in data-center-heavy Virginia.
  • For large-load developers, heat peaks are becoming a siting and contracting test focused less on annual clean-energy totals than on late-day capacity, storage availability and exposure to scarcity pricing.

Insights

While Texas uses solar and batteries to survive record heat, why are older grids forcing emergency shutdowns just to keep the lights on?
Will the explosive growth of data centers force communities to choose between running their air conditioners or powering artificial intelligence?