Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 24
Trader Places $58 Million Bearish GLD Bet as Gold Rallies 15% in Best Month Since 2008
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 24

Trader Places $58 Million Bearish GLD Bet as Gold Rallies 15% in Best Month Since 2008

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 24

Summary

  • Almost 116,000 Sep. 18 GLD 420 calls were sold and the same number of 430 calls bought, creating a $58 million net credit that effectively bets the ETF falls below a $425 breakeven.
  • GLD was trading near $427, making the spread a short-term bearish call even though the 420-strike leg was already in the money and gold is on pace for its strongest month since 2008.
  • Nigam Arora said the setup points to a likely pullback, citing negative smart-money flows and about $60 million of net outflows from GLD on Monday.
  • That trade cuts against broader options positioning: traders bought more than 37,000 GLD calls versus fewer than 20,000 puts, and 13 of the top 15 contracts by volume were calls.
  • The wager lands before Wednesday's PCE inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium, with GLD volume running nearly five times its 30-day average as gold rises despite higher Treasury yields and real rates.

Insights

Will rising real yields finally crush gold's momentum, or is this massive bearish options spread just a trap for cautious investors?
Why did a mystery trader risk millions betting against gold just days before critical inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium?