Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Aug 25
Goldman Says Europe Needs €100 Gas for Winter Stocks as Middle East Risks Threaten LNG
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Aug 25

Goldman Says Europe Needs €100 Gas for Winter Stocks as Middle East Risks Threaten LNG

3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Aug 25

Summary

  • €100 per megawatt-hour in December may be needed for Europe to rebuild enough gas inventory to get through winter, Goldman Sachs said.
  • Goldman argued the recent rally in Dutch front-month futures still would not divert enough liquefied natural gas away from Asia if Middle East supply disruptions last into next year.
  • Dutch benchmark gas futures climbed above €65/MWh last week, a five-month high that the bank said remains well below the level needed to secure additional cargoes.
  • The call underscores Europe’s vulnerability to prolonged supply shocks and its dependence on higher prices to attract LNG in a tighter global market.

Insights

Could Europe's desperate need to outbid Asia for LNG trigger a catastrophic global energy crisis this winter?
If Middle East supply disruptions continue, how will vulnerable nations like Germany survive the freezing months without sufficient gas reserves?