Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 25
Options Traders Buy 175,000 TLT Calls, Betting on 8% Bond Rally
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 25

Options Traders Buy 175,000 TLT Calls, Betting on 8% Bond Rally

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 25

Summary

  • More than 175,000 TLT calls changed hands Tuesday versus just under 40,000 puts, extending a summer-long run of bullish positioning in the long-bond ETF.
  • A notable trade bought 10,000 November $85 calls for about $1 million and sold 15,000 $90 calls for $375,000, a bullish spread that profits if TLT climbs roughly 8% to levels last seen in March.
  • TLT rose 0.9% to $83.30—its highest since July 29—while investment-grade corporate bond ETF LQD gained 0.5%, signaling broader fixed-income strength.
  • The bets come after a near year-long rise in yields pushed 30-year Treasury yields to 19-year highs last week following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded bond buyback.
  • This week's PCE inflation data, Nvidia earnings and the Jackson Hole symposium could test whether the options market's wager on lower long-end rates gains traction.

Insights

Could a massive million-dollar options bet predict a sudden collapse in Treasury yields before the next major economic shift?
Will the Treasury's multi-billion dollar buyback plan actually rescue long-term bonds, or is it just a temporary illusion?