Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 27
Trump Jr. Urged GOP AGs to Spare Prediction Markets as 9 States Face CFTC Lawsuit
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 27

Trump Jr. Urged GOP AGs to Spare Prediction Markets as 9 States Face CFTC Lawsuit

2 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 27

Summary

  • March remarks reported by The New York Times show Donald Trump Jr. told Republican state attorneys general not to target prediction markets, arguing gambling companies were protecting their monopolies.
  • Trump Jr., an adviser to Kalshi and Polymarket, said event-contract exchanges should be overseen by federal authorities rather than states, according to four people familiar with the comments.
  • The report lands as the CFTC sues 9 states to block their regulation of prediction markets, while 44 attorneys general have told the agency it cannot oversee sports-related event contracts.
  • Kalshi said states are trying to shut down a federally licensed exchange and highlighted North Carolina budget language setting a 6% tax on prediction markets versus 23% for sportsbooks.

Insights

Are event contracts disguised sports betting or a revolutionary financial tool facing unprecedented regulatory hurdles?
How will the CFTC's new 2026 rules dictate the survival of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket?