Updated
Updated · War On The Rocks · Aug 26
Russia, Iran, India Secure Rasht-Astara Rail Financing as Hormuz Flows Slump to 4.9 Million Barrels a Day
Updated
Updated · War On The Rocks · Aug 26

Russia, Iran, India Secure Rasht-Astara Rail Financing as Hormuz Flows Slump to 4.9 Million Barrels a Day

2 articles · Updated · War On The Rocks · Aug 26

Summary

  • Early-2026 financing for the Rasht-Astara railway advances the missing Iranian link in the Russia-Iran-India International North-South Transport Corridor, tightening Tehran’s role in a Moscow-centered trade network.
  • 4.9 million barrels a day moved through the Strait of Hormuz in Q2 2026, down from 21.6 million two quarters earlier during the U.S.-Iran confrontation, reinforcing the push for alternative routes even though they cannot replace the strait.
  • Trade on the INSTC roughly doubled in 2024, giving the railway fresh commercial logic, but the article argues Iran is gaining a sanctions-shadowed transit role rather than becoming a preferred connector for all sides.
  • 84% of crude and 83% of LNG crossing Hormuz in 2024 went to Asia, meaning Caucasus and overland corridors offer only limited relief for Europe while leaving the core Gulf-to-Asia dependence intact.
  • The broader corridor race is reshaping Eurasian leverage: Western-backed routes increasingly bypass Iran, Turkey’s transit importance rises, and Hormuz remains indispensable despite new pipelines and rail links.

Insights

As Turkmenistan pivots to China, will the West's multi-billion dollar plan to bypass Russian and Iranian energy routes ultimately fail?
With pipelines highly vulnerable to drone strikes, are these new overland corridors truly safer than a guarded Strait of Hormuz?
Could Turkey's rise as the ultimate energy transit hub pose a new geopolitical threat to Europe's supply chain?