Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Sep 2
Goldman Sachs Sees Mid- to High-Single-Digit Stock Returns as Global Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Sep 2

Goldman Sachs Sees Mid- to High-Single-Digit Stock Returns as Global Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs

3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Sep 2

Summary

  • Goldman Sachs expects stocks to return only mid- to high-single-digit percentages over the next 12 months, a step down after the S&P 500's 12% gain so far in 2026.
  • Peter Oppenheimer said much of the easy upside has already been captured and that further gains depend on economic growth holding up.
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury yields recently touched their highest since 2023, while the 30-year yield sits near a two-decade high, tightening financial conditions for equities.
  • Japan's 10-year yield rose above 3% for the first time since 1996, with UK and German benchmark yields also at multi-year highs, underscoring a synchronized global bond sell-off.
  • Strategists say that sell-off signals waning investor confidence in governments' debt and inflation management, a risk equities have largely ignored so far.

Insights

Will the silent surge in global bond yields ultimately crush the stock market's phenomenal run before the year ends?
If government debt fears trigger a bond market meltdown, are we quietly repeating the 2011 eurozone crisis on a global scale?
As AI infrastructure debt drives borrowing costs to decade highs, could your portfolio secretly be at risk of a major correction?