China Likely Avoids Taiwan Invasion Soon as 2 Rivals Weaken Themselves
Updated
Updated · Daily Kos · Sep 2
China Likely Avoids Taiwan Invasion Soon as 2 Rivals Weaken Themselves
1 articles · Updated · Daily Kos · Sep 2
Summary
China is likely to refrain from using force against Taiwan in the near term because its relative position is improving without war, the analyst argues.
Russia and the United States are described as the 2 main rivals now eroding their own power through costly wars, diplomatic damage and weakened military capacity, leaving Beijing little incentive to disrupt the trend.
A Taiwan assault also carries fresh deterrents: Russia’s failures in Ukraine, the U.S. experience in Iran, drone warfare and the risk that other powers could join a conflict against China.
Taiwan remains strategically and symbolically important to Beijing, but the analyst says the claim lacks urgency while rivals’ setbacks are already magnifying China’s stature.