Germany Targets €90 Billion Annual Pension Inflows by 2031 as Savings Reform Deepens Capital Markets
Updated
Updated · Apollo Global Management · Sep 4
Germany Targets €90 Billion Annual Pension Inflows by 2031 as Savings Reform Deepens Capital Markets
1 articles · Updated · Apollo Global Management · Sep 4
Summary
€90 billion a year could flow into German long-term savings by 2031 if planned pension reforms across public, private and occupational schemes are fully implemented.
A new mandatory channel equal to 2% of salaries—1% each from employers and employees—would be phased in from 2028 and alone send about €30 billion annually into Pillar 1.
The push reflects Germany’s weak funded pension base: assets equal just 7% of GDP, far below Sweden’s 149% and Canada’s 185%, while household wealth remains concentrated in deposits.
Key variables now are whether workers add voluntary top-ups, whether the public fund manages assets in-house or outsources them, and whether occupational coverage expands beyond the quarter of SMEs reached today.
If sustained, the recurring inflows—about 2% of GDP—would create a larger domestic institutional investor base and deepen German capital markets.