Updated
Updated · The American Prospect · Sep 11
AfD Wins 20.8% in Germany's 2025 Vote as Economic Stagnation Deepens
Updated
Updated · The American Prospect · Sep 11

AfD Wins 20.8% in Germany's 2025 Vote as Economic Stagnation Deepens

3 articles · Updated · The American Prospect · Sep 11

Summary

  • 20.8% of the vote gave AfD 152 seats in Germany's 630-member Bundestag in 2025, making it the second-largest parliamentary group and official opposition.
  • 8% real per capita growth between 2012 and 2025 underpins the surge, with the report arguing Germany's manufacturing-led model is faltering under Chinese competition and weak wage growth.
  • Volkswagen's crisis has sharpened that anxiety: IG Metall accepted 50,000 layoffs, another 50,000 job cuts by 2030 and four plant closures as Chinese automakers erode VW exports.
  • East Germany remains a core base after reunification's shock privatization wiped out thousands of industrial jobs; AfD support hit 44% in Saxony-Anhalt and has also spread westward.
  • Immigration hostility remains a factor, but the report says unresolved economic grievances are the stronger driver of far-right gains in Germany and other former industrial regions.

Insights

With Germany's auto engine stalling, is the AfD's explosive rise the final nail in the coffin for Europe's traditional political center?
As 100,000 auto jobs vanish by 2030, will economic desperation officially normalize far-right extremism across the rest of the Western world?