Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 13
2026 NFL Week 1 Opens Across 4 Days as SportsLine Model Simulates Games 10,000 Times
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 13

2026 NFL Week 1 Opens Across 4 Days as SportsLine Model Simulates Games 10,000 Times

3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 13

Summary

  • Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season begins with games spread over four days, including a Wednesday Super Bowl rematch, Thursday action in Australia, a full Sunday slate and Monday Night Football.
  • 10,000 simulations from SportsLine’s model anchor a broad betting package that also includes expert against-the-spread picks, teaser plays, survivor selections and exact-score projections for every matchup.
  • Sunday’s highlighted calls include Pittsburgh over Atlanta, Baltimore over Indianapolis, Houston to upset Buffalo, Jacksonville over Cleveland and Detroit to rout New Orleans.
  • Late-window and prime-time picks lean toward the Chargers over Arizona, Minnesota over Green Bay, Las Vegas over Miami and Philadelphia over Washington, while Cowboys-Giants and Broncos-Chiefs feature under leans.
  • The opening week also spotlights major offseason changes—from Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh and Kirk Cousins in Las Vegas to Miami’s $181.6 million dead-cap burden and several teams breaking in new coaches or schemes.

Insights

Will sharp bettors regret fading Green Bay, or is the Packers' disastrous offseason truly a death sentence for their Week 1 hopes?
How will the Eagles' revamped offense survive Week 1 under a new coordinator after trading away superstar A.J. Brown?
With a staggering $183 million dead-cap crippling their roster, could the Dolphins actually suffer a winless 2026 season?