Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Sep 15
Austin Mock Backs 3 NFL Week 2 Unders, Led by Colts-Chiefs at 47.5
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Sep 15

Austin Mock Backs 3 NFL Week 2 Unders, Led by Colts-Chiefs at 47.5

1 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Sep 15

Summary

  • Three of Austin Mock’s four early NFL Week 2 best bets target unders, with Colts-Chiefs under 47.5 joining Saints-Ravens under 47.5 and Steelers-Patriots under 41.5.
  • Mock’s model case centers on slower game scripts: Baltimore is missing Zay Flowers and Ja’Kobi Lane, Kansas City’s passing game lacks explosiveness, and New England-Pittsburgh projects as a defense-driven matchup.
  • His lone over is Browns-Buccaneers over 40.5, based on Tampa Bay’s ability to move the ball and his view that Cleveland’s defense may be overrated after Myles Garrett’s departure.
  • The card is still open to additions later in the week, with Mock advising bettors to shop for prices; his 2025 picks went 41-29 for +9.77 units and a 12.8% ROI.

Insights

With experts clashing on Week 2 totals, what hidden data makes this betting model confidently predict a slate of low-scoring games?
Why is one of the most successful recent betting models completely ignoring the offensive hype surrounding the Chiefs this week?
Can a statistical model accurately predict NFL scoring when relying on unpredictable factors like rookie mistakes and early-season injuries?