Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 17
Fornelli Backs Ole Miss +3 in Week 3, Eyes Under 59.5 in Louisville-SMU
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 17

Fornelli Backs Ole Miss +3 in Week 3, Eyes Under 59.5 in Louisville-SMU

1 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 17

Summary

  • Ole Miss +3 is Fornelli’s top Week 3 side, with LSU’s edge on defense and coaching outweighed by his concern over Sam Leavitt’s road turnover risk in a hostile Oxford matchup.
  • Louisville-SMU lands as his featured total play: under 59.5, driven by what he sees as a near coin-flip game likely decided by mistakes and by a 22-8 under trend in Power Four games with spreads of seven points or less.
  • Appalachian State team total over 34.5 is his Lock of the Week, based on a Charlotte defense he notes ranks last nationally in success rate and has already allowed 43 points to The Citadel.
  • His other picks are Oklahoma-New Mexico over 46.5, South Alabama -7 against Ohio, and North Carolina moneyline at +146 over Clemson, where he points to the Tigers’ offensive struggles and freshman quarterback Tait Reynolds.

Insights

Will Oxford's high-security, hostile atmosphere force LSU's quarterback into critical mistakes, or can the Tigers overcome the emotional chaos?
With Clemson's offense struggling and their quarterback situation in flux, could a massive upset by North Carolina rewrite the ACC hierarchy?