AAII Bearish Sentiment Jumps to 53% as Oil Surges and 10-Year Yield Nears 5%

2 articles · Updated · CNBC · Sep 18

53% of individual investors turned bearish on the six-month stock outlook, up 14 percentage points in a week and the highest reading since May 2025, while bullish sentiment fell to just under 29%.
Oil prices have reaccelerated and the 10-year Treasury yield has hovered near 5% amid the war with Iran, driving the sharp deterioration in Main Street risk appetite.
30% of stocks now trade above their 50-day moving average, a level Truist said is close to oversold territory and often seen near market lows.
Strategists at Truist and One Point BFG said the extreme AAII reading could set up an equity bounce, even as the S&P 500 remains on track for a second straight weekly decline.

Sources

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CNBC19h ago

Individual Investor Bearish Sentiment Hits 53%, Highest Since May 2025, Amid Oil Prices and Treasury Yields

TU News19h ago

AAII bearish sentiment hits one-year high as stock pullback deepens

With retail investors hitting peak panic over 5% yields and geopolitical strife, could this extreme pessimism actually trigger a massive market rally?

While everyday investors flee the market in fear, are institutional giants quietly buying up oversold tech stocks for a major rebound?