SportsLine Model Backs Michigan State, South Carolina in Week 3 After 10,000 Simulations
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 19
SportsLine Model Backs Michigan State, South Carolina in Week 3 After 10,000 Simulations
3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 19
Summary
Michigan State +29.5 at No. 3 Notre Dame and South Carolina -4 vs. Mississippi State are the model’s featured Week 3 picks, with each covering in nearly 60% of simulations.
The SportsLine model ran every FBS matchup 10,000 times and projects Notre Dame to win 42-17—keeping Michigan State inside the number—while also liking the over in that game at better than 60%.
South Carolina’s case rests on recent dominance and defense: the Gamecocks have won eight of the last nine against Mississippi State and have allowed just one touchdown this season.
Week 3’s marquee game is No. 7 LSU at No. 8 Ole Miss, where LSU is a 3-point road favorite after quarterback Sam Leavitt was removed from the injury report.
The model enters the week on a 33-21 run on top-rated college football money-line picks since the 2024 season and says it has picks for every FBS game, including an outright underdog winner.