Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Sep 23
OECD Cuts UK Inflation View to 3.1%, Lifts 2026 Growth to 1.1% on Support
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Sep 23

OECD Cuts UK Inflation View to 3.1%, Lifts 2026 Growth to 1.1% on Support

3 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Sep 23

Summary

  • The OECD sharply lowered its 2026 UK inflation forecast to 3.1% from 3.7%, saying price rises have been weaker than expected.
  • It also raised its 2026 UK growth forecast to 1.1% from 0.9% in June, citing newly announced government support measures expected to bolster consumer spending.
  • Andy Burnham's government cut VAT on electricity bills after taking office in July and has signaled more household relief could come in next month's budget.
  • The brighter outlook comes despite sharply higher UK borrowing costs, as global bond-market turmoil and conflict-driven oil supply disruptions have kept pressure on inflation and public finances.
  • The OECD update follows its separate downgrade of UK 2027 growth to 1.0%, while IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva urged advanced economies to curb debt as servicing costs climb.

Insights

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