Updated
Updated · Fox News · Sep 23
Siena Poll Shows Hochul Leading Blakeman 50%-41% as New York Governor Race Tightens
Updated
Updated · Fox News · Sep 23

Siena Poll Shows Hochul Leading Blakeman 50%-41% as New York Governor Race Tightens

3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Sep 23

Summary

  • A Siena College poll of 1,144 likely voters put Kathy Hochul at 50% and Bruce Blakeman at 41%, leaving the Republican nominee within single digits with six weeks until Election Day.
  • The shift from a 10-point deficit in August is only one point and sits within the poll’s 3.9-point margin of error, but it still marks a closer race than New York’s heavy Democratic registration edge would suggest.
  • Blakeman leads Hochul 44%-39% among independents and runs stronger with Republicans, 88%-8%, than Hochul does with Democrats, 81%-11%, according to Siena pollster Steven Greenberg.
  • Hochul still holds advantages beyond the topline: two-thirds of voters expect her to win, and Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement is seen as a plus by a 50%-30% margin, while Donald Trump’s backing hurts Blakeman with half of likely voters.
  • The poll also revives memories of 2022, when Hochul’s 17-point lead over Lee Zeldin at this stage shrank to a six-point victory by Election Day.

Insights

Will billion-dollar utility rebates be enough to satisfy voters, or is the state's affordability crisis demanding a more permanent economic fix?
Can a massive rollout of free childcare truly solve the mounting cost-of-living crisis before voters make their final decision?
Could a controversial ban on massive data centers secretly be the key to keeping the state's fragile energy grid from collapsing?