Chiefs, Seahawks Lead 16-Game NFL Week 3 Confidence Picks
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Sep 23
Chiefs, Seahawks Lead 16-Game NFL Week 3 Confidence Picks
3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Sep 23
Summary
Kansas City and Seattle sit atop the Week 3 confidence rankings, with the Chiefs favored over Miami and the Seahawks backed against Washington despite uncertainty over Seattle’s starting quarterback.
Washington’s outlook worsened after Jayden Daniels suffered a dislocated elbow, while the Chiefs draw support from Miami’s poor early-season form and Patrick Mahomes’ strong return.
Other high-confidence straight-up picks include the 49ers over the Cardinals, Bills over the Chargers and Eagles over the Bears, with Chicago facing quarterback injury concerns around Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent.
The analyst’s betting card also leans toward the Saints, Jaguars, Rams, Panthers, Vikings, Texans, Jets and Steelers against the spread, while calling Titans-Giants the least certain game.
The rankings follow a shaky Week 2 for the picker—9-7 straight up and 4-6 on wagers—and frame Week 3 as a reset rather than a reaction to the season’s first two weeks.