Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Sep 24
El-Sayed Leads Rogers 49%-44% in Michigan Senate Poll as Race May Decide Control
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Sep 24

El-Sayed Leads Rogers 49%-44% in Michigan Senate Poll as Race May Decide Control

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Sep 24

Summary

  • A new New York Times-Siena poll puts Democrat Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by 5 points in Michigan, 49% to 44%, with six weeks until Election Day.
  • El-Sayed also runs stronger on voter perceptions: 47% view him favorably versus 39% for Rogers, and 46% say he has good character compared with 39% for Rogers.
  • The coalition split is sharp. Rogers leads El-Sayed by 9 points among voters 45 and older, who make up about two-thirds of likely voters, while El-Sayed leads by 39 points among voters 44 and younger.
  • Rogers, a former congressman backed by President Trump, has recently tried to distance himself from the unpopular president, while El-Sayed is still working to unify Democrats after a bitter primary.
  • Michigan is a perennial swing state, and the contest is one of a small number of competitive Senate races that could determine chamber control.

Insights

How will the stark generational divide ultimately decide the fate of this crucial Michigan election?