Falcons Picked to Edge Saints 27-24 as 1-2 Rivals Chase NFC South Lead
Updated
Updated · The Falcoholic · Oct 5
Falcons Picked to Edge Saints 27-24 as 1-2 Rivals Chase NFC South Lead
3 articles · Updated · The Falcoholic · Oct 5
Summary
Atlanta is projected to win 27-24 on Monday night in New Orleans, with both 1-2 teams able to grab at least a share of the NFC South lead.
Bijan Robinson and the Falcons' ground game drive the case for Atlanta: they rank second in rushing yards, while New Orleans sits 27th in rushing yards and yards per carry allowed.
Atlanta's defense could further tilt the matchup because it leads the league against the run, and the Saints may be pushed into a pass-heavy script after losing Travis Etienne Jr. and left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr.
Michael Penix Jr.'s strong Week 3 showing against Green Bay adds optimism for Atlanta, though the sample size remains one game and FanDuel lists the Falcons as 2.5-point road underdogs.
Recent history also favors Atlanta, which has beaten a similar Saints team twice in 2025 and is 4-0 on Monday Night Football since 2024.