Updated
Updated · POLITICO · Oct 6
Quebec Elects PQ's St-Pierre Plamondon With 59 Seats, Testing Carney on Unity
Updated
Updated · POLITICO · Oct 6

Quebec Elects PQ's St-Pierre Plamondon With 59 Seats, Testing Carney on Unity

3 articles · Updated · POLITICO · Oct 6

Summary

  • Paul St-Pierre Plamondon led the Parti Québécois from 3 seats four years ago to 59 on Monday, enough to form Quebec’s fourth minority government but short of the 64 needed for a majority.
  • Voters punished the Coalition Avenir Québec after health-care reform missteps and failed investments, wiping out the party that had won back-to-back majorities since 2018.
  • St-Pierre Plamondon pledged to govern for all Quebecers while still promising a third independence referendum after Donald Trump leaves office, even though most Quebecers do not want one.
  • Mark Carney now faces a harder task keeping premiers aligned against Trump’s trade war, with Quebec especially exposed to tariffs averaging about 11% and steel and aluminum exports down nearly 25% in 2025.
  • The minority mandate also limits the new premier at home, forcing him to seek opposition support to pass laws and making any sovereignty push harder to execute quickly.

Insights

How will Quebec's separatist premier survive a fragile minority government when opposition parties outright reject his independence referendum?
With US tariffs looming, will Quebec's push for sovereignty ultimately be crushed by its deep economic reliance on American markets?
Can Quebec truly defund the monarchy's provincial office without triggering a massive constitutional crisis across all of Canada?