Updated
Updated · Euronews · Oct 6
France's 10-Year Yield Hits 5% as Debt Premium Over Germany Widens to 152 Basis Points
Updated
Updated · Euronews · Oct 6

France's 10-Year Yield Hits 5% as Debt Premium Over Germany Widens to 152 Basis Points

3 articles · Updated · Euronews · Oct 6

Summary

  • France’s 10-year borrowing cost climbed to 5% last week—the highest since 2002—while its spread over Germany hit 152 basis points, a level last seen during the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis.
  • €3.6 trillion of public debt, equal to 119% of GDP, is driving the selloff as France runs a 5.4% deficit this year, far above the EU’s 3% limit, and investors doubt Paris can deliver credible cuts.
  • Sébastien Lecornu’s minority government proposed €54 billion of 2027 savings and revenue measures, but markets focused on repeated missed targets, a 13 October budget fight and a 2027 presidential election.
  • €340 billion of planned 2027 debt issuance adds pressure, and BNP Paribas estimates debt could still rise to 121% of GDP next year, or 126% by 2032 if serious deficit cuts slip to 2028.
  • The turmoil is already spilling into Europe: Italian and Greek spreads have widened, the euro touched $1.1161, and the ECB faces pressure between fighting 3.8% inflation and containing bond-market stress.

Insights

How close is the European Central Bank to stepping in as France's borrowing costs spiral out of control?
Could forced austerity and massive pension cuts spark nationwide unrest before France even passes its emergency budget?
Will political gridlock over the 2027 budget trigger a catastrophic Eurozone debt crisis mirroring Greece's collapse?