Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 7
10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.35% Before $39 Billion Auction
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 7

10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.35% Before $39 Billion Auction

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Oct 7

Summary

  • The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose nearly 8 basis points to 5.35% on Wednesday, its highest since 2002, as investors positioned for a closely watched $39 billion note sale.
  • That auction will test whether current yields are high enough to attract buyers or whether investors demand a bigger premium amid worries over inflation, U.S. debt levels and term risk.
  • Longer-dated bonds stayed under pressure: the 30-year yield climbed 8.3 basis points to 5.724%, a 24-year high, while the 2-year yield rose 2.7 basis points to 4.818%.
  • The move extends a broader selloff, with the 10-year up 60 basis points since end-July as U.S. crude has jumped 20%; French and U.K. 10-year yields also surged Wednesday.
  • Markets later Wednesday will parse FOMC minutes and New York Fed inflation-expectations data for clues on whether the Fed's September rate hike will be followed by further tightening.

Insights

As term premiums surge faster than inflation fears, what hidden risks are bond markets pricing in that policymakers might be missing?
If major global sovereign debt markets are selling off simultaneously, where is the ultimate safe haven capital actually flowing today?
Could the massive government debt supply trigger an unprecedented liquidity crisis despite the Treasury's expanded buyback efforts?