Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 9
Maine Senate Polls Split 8-2 for Jackson or Collins as Race Tightens
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 9

Maine Senate Polls Split 8-2 for Jackson or Collins as Race Tightens

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Oct 9

Summary

  • 13 public Maine Senate polls released over the past three weeks have pointed in sharply different directions: eight showed Troy Jackson ahead, three found a tie, and two — including a Times/Siena survey — gave Susan Collins the edge.
  • A Washington Post-Schar School poll released Friday put Jackson up 4 points, underscoring a race that appears highly competitive but unusually hard to measure.
  • The divergence stands out because Collins’s 2020 race looked much steadier in polling; Sara Gideon led nearly every public survey after July, yet Collins won by 8 points.
  • One possible difference this year is that Jackson has hit 50% in about half of the recent polls, a threshold Gideon never reached before Election Day.
  • Fuel costs remain central to the contest: Collins said she helped speed more than $38 million in federal heating aid for low-income Mainers as Jackson blames her for oil-price pain tied to the Iran war.

Insights

Will an unexpected health scare and a ten-day disappearance ultimately help or hinder a highly visible public figure's career?
How does a simple flu diagnosis spiral into wild online conspiracies, and what does it reveal about modern public expectations?