Democrats Open 8-Point Generic Ballot Lead as Midterm Polls Put 4-Seat Senate Gain in Play
Updated
Updated · Fox News · Oct 19
Democrats Open 8-Point Generic Ballot Lead as Midterm Polls Put 4-Seat Senate Gain in Play
3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Oct 19
Summary
An 8-point Democratic lead on the generic congressional ballot has put a potential midterm wave in view with 19 days left, giving the party the upper hand in the House and a real shot at the Senate.
History and current sentiment both point that way: the president’s party has lost seats in all but three midterms since Roosevelt, while Trump’s approval is below 40% and 44% of voters say they are falling behind financially.
Senate polling shows Democrats competitive well beyond the core map — Roy Cooper leads by nearly 10 points in North Carolina, Abdul El-Sayed is up 3 in Michigan, and Troy Jackson holds a slight edge in Maine.
The map has widened further in Texas, where James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by about 3 points, with Democrats also running closer than expected in Iowa, South Carolina, Alaska and Kansas.
Republicans still have a cash advantage, many races remain within the margin of error, and Democrats need a net gain of 4 Senate seats, leaving the scale of any Democratic win uncertain.