Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 20
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Slips to 5.114% as Traders See 82% Odds of Fed Hold
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 20

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Slips to 5.114% as Traders See 82% Odds of Fed Hold

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Oct 20

Summary

  • The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 5.114% on Tuesday, while the 30-year yield also dropped 2 basis points to 5.45%; the 2-year was little changed at 4.757%.
  • That move came as investors waited for fresh U.S. data and reassessed inflation risks ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.
  • Tuesday's focus is on September housing starts and pending home sales, with ADP employment figures also due; weekly jobless claims follow on Thursday and S&P Global's flash PMI on Friday.
  • Markets are also looking to the upcoming personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, with CME FedWatch showing an 82% chance rates stay unchanged next week.

Insights

As 10-year Treasury yields remain above 5%, how long can the housing market withstand these borrowing costs before a structural correction occurs?
Could resilient consumer demand and historically low layoffs pave the way for a surprise rate hike despite market expectations of a pause?
With AI infrastructure spending and deglobalization driving up debt, will the Fed be forced to accept inflation above its traditional 2% target?