Nine GOP-Redrawn House Districts Slip From Reach as Trump's Slump Imperils Midterm Gains
Updated
Updated · Reuters · Oct 21
Nine GOP-Redrawn House Districts Slip From Reach as Trump's Slump Imperils Midterm Gains
1 articles · Updated · Reuters · Oct 21
Summary
Nine Republican-redrawn House districts that once favored the party now lean Democratic or are too close to call, according to a Reuters analysis less than two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms.
Trump's record-low approval rating — tied to the Iran war and high gas prices — has erased much of the edge Republicans built when they redrew dozens of districts to protect their narrow House majority.
In Texas and Florida, only 1 of 9 redesigned Democratic-held seats is now seen as a safe Republican pickup, with analysts saying weaker Latino support has upended maps built on 2024 voting patterns.
Those seats have become expensive battlegrounds: 4 of the 6 House races drawing the most outside Republican-aligned spending are in redistricted districts, averaging more than $12 million each.
Republicans still hold a better national map than before redistricting, but analysts say the expected gains have shrunk sharply and Democrats could even net seats if the anti-Trump wave deepens.