Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 23
10-Year Treasury Yield Drops Below 5% as Oil Jumps to $113 and Stocks Slide
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Oct 23

10-Year Treasury Yield Drops Below 5% as Oil Jumps to $113 and Stocks Slide

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Oct 23

Summary

  • 4.972% — the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell more than 17 basis points Thursday, dropping below 5% for the first time since Sept. 23 in its biggest one-day decline since March 10, 2023.
  • A flight to safety drove the move as investors sold stocks on doubts about AI spending, while Middle East tensions and surging crude prices lifted demand for Treasurys.
  • 4.659% on the 2-year and 5.296% on the 30-year showed the rally spread across the curve, reversing part of this month’s surge that had pushed long-dated yields to more than two-decade highs.
  • $99.47 WTI and $113.17 Brent added to the risk-off mood after a New York Times report said the U.S. and Israel were considering renewed strikes on Iran after the Nov. 3 midterm elections.
  • Above 5%, Treasurys had started to look attractive again, but strategists said persistently high energy prices could still squeeze consumers and complicate the Federal Reserve’s next moves.

Insights

If inflation surges from Middle East conflicts, will U.S. Treasurys remain the ultimate safe haven for terrified investors?
How will the sudden squeeze on AI financing collide with soaring oil prices to reshape global markets?
Could this massive flight to safety actually trigger a demand-driven recession that central banks are powerless to stop?