Updated
Updated · Euronews · Oct 23
France Private Sector Contracts at 48.4, Dragging Eurozone PMI to 51.9
Updated
Updated · Euronews · Oct 23

France Private Sector Contracts at 48.4, Dragging Eurozone PMI to 51.9

3 articles · Updated · Euronews · Oct 23

Summary

  • France’s composite PMI fell to 48.4 in October from 51.1, ending September’s brief rebound as services dropped to 48.4 and manufacturing slipped to an 11-month low of 49.3.
  • Political uncertainty, higher energy costs and rising French borrowing costs hit demand: firms reported customers delaying projects, new orders posting their fastest fall since May, and export business shrinking for an 11th straight month.
  • French companies also cut staff for a sixth month, while 12-month business expectations turned negative for the first time in almost two years and sank to their lowest since April 2020.
  • The French downturn pulled the eurozone composite PMI down to 51.9 from 53.1, a four-month low that still implies modest growth of about 0.3% for the quarter.
  • Germany held up better with a 52.8 composite reading and manufacturing at 54.2, but rising input costs and Brent near $114 a barrel are adding to pressure on the ECB as inflation stays stubborn.

Insights

How can the ECB rescue a contracting French economy when sticky inflation and rising German input costs demand tighter monetary control?
With France's debt nearing 120% of GDP, could political gridlock trigger a sovereign debt crisis that drags down the entire eurozone?
Will forcing through deeply unpopular pension reforms to save France's credit rating ignite social unrest that further cripples its fragile economy?